TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mali vs. Ivory Coast
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mali vs Ivory Coast?

Volume:
$165,801

Ivory Coast

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 1:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100,140
N/A
N/A
$46,423
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ivory Coast (-7.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mali

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,645
N/A
N/A
$28,675
Settled
No
polymarket

Mali vs. Ivory Coast

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game between Mali and Ivory Coast. The current consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: Ivory Coast (-7.5), is 99.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by the official FIBA basketball rules. Watch for the game result on August 27 at 6:00AM ET, which will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses a binary outcome market while Kalshi uses a Yes/No format that resolves positively for either winnerHero tip: Traders should be aware that Kalshi's market will always resolve positively unless the game is postponed or canceled, while Polymarket's market has distinct outcomes for each team and a specific resolution path for cancellations

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to "Mali" if Mali wins, "Ivory Coast" if they win, 50-50 if canceled, remains open if postponed. Result determined by final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the game. Remains open if postponed or canceled. No distinction between winners, only win vs no-win.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the Ivory Coast win, the market will resolve to "Ivory Coast". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the Ivory Coast vs Mali men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 27, 2026, at 11:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Mali vs. Ivory Coast match outcome market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different results. It displays the current consensus view and volume trends across venues, letting users see how the short_topic evolves as the event approaches. This centralized view helps participants spot shifts in sentiment and compare expectations without checking each platform individually.

Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate sharp lines and adjustments for public betting patterns, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their beliefs, which can create prices that vary by a few points. The spread between the two can widen if major news emerges, such as key player injuries, affecting trader sentiment differently than bookmaker adjustments.