TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Mali will win its professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game against Cape Verde. Currently, Kalshi gives Mali a 74.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 21.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as determined by the standing after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Traders should watch the match on September 25, 2026, as that is when the betting period will end and the result of the game—and therefore this market—will be known.
This event settles the result of the Mali vs Cape Verde AFCON Qualifiers soccer game set for September 25, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the designated team wins within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Should the match conclude in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or postponed beyond 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived from different methodologies and participant motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. This creates a real-time indication of what the crowd believes will happen in the Mali vs Cape Verde match. The market depth and trading volume provide insight into the confidence level behind the current prices.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mali vs Cape Verde match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and public polls could impact market sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, or even perceived momentum shifts based on recent team performance, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.