TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two national soccer teams compete in a qualifying match for a major tournament. The outcome depends solely on which team scores more goals within the standard match duration, excluding any additional periods.
The event resolves based on the result of the Malawi vs South Sudan AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Malawi scores more goals than South Sudan within this timeframe, the "Malawi" market resolves to Yes. If South Sudan scores more goals, the "South Sudan" market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Malawi vs South Sudan match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights into the Malawi vs South Sudan match.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Malawi vs South Sudan match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could also trigger price fluctuations, as others react to their actions and adjust their own positions on the Malawi vs South Sudan match.