TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Drin "makazze" Shaqiri records at least one ACE (5 kills in a single round / 5x multi-kills) during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as recorded on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV makazze 5x multi-kills history for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/multikills/22673/five/makazze?event=8301 If the HLTV.org multi-kill stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, regardless of the reason, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Drin "makazze" Shaqiri records at least one ACE (5 kills in a single round / 5x multi-kills) during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as recorded on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV makazze 5x multi-kills history for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/multikills/22673/five/makazze?event=8301 If the HLTV.org multi-kill stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, regardless of the reason, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue receives new information first. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on the likelihood of an ACE, offering perspective on consensus versus outlier views.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for YES or NO positions. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves as new orders arrive and clear. Traders holding positions profit if the outcome matches their bet, creating continuous incentive to update prices as new information emerges. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to news or shifting expectations about the event.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once Stage 3 competition concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether makazze records an ACE during the specified stage. Traders should monitor official event coverage and announcements as the date approaches to stay informed on any schedule changes or clarifications. Early resolution is possible if the outcome becomes certain before the end date.
Key catalysts include makazze's recent performance metrics, injury reports, and head-to-head matchup announcements for Stage 3. Changes in player form, coaching adjustments, or opponent roster updates can shift trader expectations significantly. Media coverage and expert commentary often trigger repricing as new analysis reaches the market. Additionally, early-stage results or any official statements about competition format or scheduling may influence how traders assess the probability of an ACE occurring during this specific stage.