TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:05 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer game will take place between two teams, and the result will be determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
If Makassar wins the Makassar vs Arema FC professional Indonesia Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Arema FC wins the Makassar vs Arema FC professional Indonesia Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Makassar vs Arema FC professional Indonesia Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants trading on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each outcome in the Indonesian Liga 1 match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Indonesian Liga 1 match between Makassar and Arema FC as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome has the highest probability as reflected in the final contract prices on Kalshi at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also drive movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the contract prices on Kalshi.