TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Washington Freedom and San Francisco Unicorns scheduled for 2026-07-04 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to San Francisco Unicorns will be considered correct if San Francisco Unicorns is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Washington Freedom and San Francisco Unicorns scheduled for 2026-07-04 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to San Francisco Unicorns will be considered correct if San Francisco Unicorns is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For cricket toss events, sportsbooks may offer fixed odds at specific times, whereas this market updates dynamically as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal whether one venue prices the outcome more favorably than the other.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of each outcome through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying shares pushes the price up and selling pushes it down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current leading outcome reflects the aggregate confidence of all active traders at that moment. As match day approaches and new information surfaces—team news, weather conditions, or historical toss patterns—the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations about the toss result.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Washington Freedom vs San Francisco Unicorns match toss has been conducted and verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the official toss result. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations, but once the toss is complete and reported, the market settles according to what actually occurred.
Several factors can shift trader positioning before the toss. Team roster announcements, injury updates, or lineup changes may influence perceived strategic advantages that affect toss-calling decisions. Weather forecasts closer to match day can sway expectations, as conditions sometimes favor certain outcomes. Media commentary, expert predictions, or historical head-to-head toss records between these teams may also prompt repricing. As the match date approaches, increased trading activity and refined information typically drive price adjustments in this market.