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Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New York - Team Top Batter
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will have the top batter in Seattle Orcas vs Mi New York?

Volume:
$3,888,514

MI New York

 - Kalshi

MI New York - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 1:21 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MI New York

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,074,620
N/A
N/A
$609,035
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle Orcas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,813,894
N/A
N/A
$807,418
Settled
No
polymarket

SEA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks which team's player will record the highest individual batting score in the Major League Cricket match between Seattle Orcas and Mi New York. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. The resolution will be determined following the match originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT, with final resolution expected by July 9, 2026. Watch for the match result and official box score to confirm the highest individual run total across both teams.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically incoherent and measures match outcome (winner), not top batter. Polymarket measures top individual batter score. These are fundamentally different events with no overlap in resolution logic.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket as the authoritative market definition. Kalshi's market appears to contain corrupted or mismatched source data. If forced to trade, use Polymarket's top-batter logic (highest individual score by player, with draw if tied across teams). Do not rely on Kalshi's contradictory both-teams-win logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match Winner Binary (Incoherent). Both 'Seattle Orcas wins' and 'MI New York wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market logically impossible. Quote: 'If Seattle Orcas wins...resolves to Yes. If MI New York wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Top Individual Batter Score. Resolves based on which team's player records the single highest individual run total. Includes Draw outcome if highest score is tied across teams. Quote: 'This market resolves according to which team's player records the highest individual run total...If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Seattle Orcas and Mi New York scheduled for 2026-07-02 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Seattle Orcas will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Seattle Orcas. The outcome corresponding to Mi New York will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Mi New York. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw. The market will resolve according to which team's player records the highest individual run total regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions). DLS/DRS adjustments and any other on-field rulings affecting batting statistics are treated as ordinary data. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded, the market will resolve Draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

Kalshi

This men's Major League Cricket match between Seattle Orcas and MI New York is scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. The market resolves based on the official result: Seattle Orcas victory or MI New York victory. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. In forfeit, disqualification, or concession scenarios, if the incident occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50; if it occurs after play has begun and an official winner is declared, the market resolves accordingly. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than bookmaker margins, often reflecting sharper, more granular assessments of individual player performance. Sportsbooks typically offer broader team or match outcomes with built-in vigorish; prediction markets instead aggregate distributed trader conviction on specific events. For a niche outcome like top batter honors, prediction markets may offer tighter spreads and faster price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, though liquidity varies by platform and event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Kalshi and Polymarket may also weight recent betting activity, historical volatility, or platform-specific order flow differently. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform prices a batter's chances significantly higher or lower than the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays typically prevent perfect convergence between independent prediction exchanges.

Recent form and injury status of key batters will significantly influence odds leading up to the match. Team composition announcements, lineup changes, and head-to-head historical performance between these squads can trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions at the venue, pitch reports, and any last-minute roster adjustments closer to game day may also shift trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or team strategy typically generates the largest intraday volatility in this market.