TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 5:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between San Francisco Unicorns and Washington Freedom scheduled for 2026-06-28 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to San Francisco Unicorns will be considered correct if San Francisco Unicorns is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between San Francisco Unicorns and Washington Freedom scheduled for 2026-06-28 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to San Francisco Unicorns will be considered correct if San Francisco Unicorns is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For a toss prediction, market-derived odds may shift more dynamically as new information emerges, whereas sportsbooks adjust lines more cautiously. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likelihood of each outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of liquidity pools, so as traders accumulate shares in one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous pricing model allows participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with spreads determined by the depth and activity of the liquidity pools.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the toss result from the San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom match is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources covering Major League Cricket, ensuring accuracy before the market settles. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match broadcasts to anticipate resolution timing and confirm the toss winner.
Several factors may shift odds in this market before it closes. Team roster changes, injury updates, or weather forecasts affecting toss strategy could influence trader expectations. Public commentary from team captains or analysts about toss preferences may also sway sentiment. As the match date approaches, increased media coverage and expert predictions could drive volume and repricing. Finally, any official league communications about venue conditions or match logistics might prompt traders to reassess their positions.