TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Los Angeles Knight Riders and Washington Freedom scheduled for 2026-07-18 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Los Angeles Knight Riders will be considered correct if Los Angeles Knight Riders is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Los Angeles Knight Riders and Washington Freedom scheduled for 2026-07-18 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Los Angeles Knight Riders will be considered correct if Los Angeles Knight Riders is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For cricket events like this one, sportsbook odds may lag behind market-derived probabilities when new information emerges, since traders on prediction platforms can adjust positions instantly. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likely outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract trades independently, and the combined probabilities reflect the crowd's aggregate forecast. As traders place orders, the price moves to equilibrate supply and demand, ensuring that the market continuously incorporates new information about team form, weather, and other match variables up to the close.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the toss result and match conclusion are confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying both the coin toss winner and the final match result against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official league announcements and broadcast coverage to anticipate resolution timing, as delays or disputes can extend the settlement window.
Key catalysts include team injury announcements, weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions, and pre-match commentary from analysts and captains. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one outcome can also shift prices rapidly. Live match developments—such as early wickets or aggressive batting—will drive final price adjustments before close. Social media sentiment and expert predictions published closer to the event date may trigger volatility as traders reassess their positions.