TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedom - Toss Match Double
kalshi
polymarket

What is the toss and match result of Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedom?

Volume:
$2,910,173

Washington Freedom

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 12:50 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Washington Freedom

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,173,340
N/A
N/A
$541,679
Settled
Yes
polymarket

WAS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles Knight Riders

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,736,778
N/A
N/A
$993,186
Settled
No
polymarket

LOS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether the Los Angeles Knight Riders will win both the pre-match coin toss and the final match result against the Washington Freedom in their Major League Cricket matchup. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for a Los Angeles Knight Riders victory in this Toss Match Double format. Resolution will be determined by official Major League Cricket records following the match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Watch for the outcome announcement by the resolution date estimate of July 8, 2026, which marks the settlement window for this event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket define different outcome spaces and resolution conditions. Kalshi resolves Yes on any match winner; Polymarket requires toss-match alignment and includes a Draw outcome for misalignment or cancellation.Hero tip: These are distinct market structures, not redundant pairs. Kalshi is a pure match-winner bet. Polymarket is a correlation bet requiring both toss and match to align. Verify your intended exposure before trading. A Polymarket Draw can occur even if Kalshi resolves Yes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market on match outcome only. Resolves Yes if either team wins the match. No explicit toss condition mentioned. Key Quote: 'If Washington Freedom wins the Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedom men's professional Major League Cricket cricket match originally scheduled for Jul 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market (LA Winner, Washington Winner, Draw) contingent on BOTH toss and match results matching. Resolves Draw if toss and match winners differ, or if match is canceled/abandoned. Key Quote: 'The outcome corresponding to Los Angeles Knight Riders will be considered correct if Los Angeles Knight Riders is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Draw.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Los Angeles Knight Riders and Washington Freedom scheduled for 2026-07-01 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Los Angeles Knight Riders will be considered correct if Los Angeles Knight Riders is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Washington Freedom will be considered correct if Washington Freedom is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.

Kalshi

This event covers a single Major League Cricket match between Los Angeles Knight Riders and Washington Freedom scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Markets resolve Yes if the respective team wins the match as officially declared. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurring before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50; if such events occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve based on that declaration. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

The MLC toss and match outcome market aggregates trader sentiment across Polymarket and Kalshi, capturing real-time probability estimates for both the coin toss result and the match winner in the Los Angeles Knight Riders versus Washington Freedom fixture. Traders on each platform independently price these linked outcomes, creating a dual-outcome prediction framework. By monitoring this market across platforms, you gain visibility into how the broader prediction community weighs the likelihood of each scenario. The combined volume and price consensus reflect market confidence in potential outcomes ahead of the match.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently due to their underlying mechanics. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, unfiltered by a bookmaker's risk management. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probabilities over time, especially as the event approaches. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal discrepancies that signal either market inefficiency or differing risk assessments between the two pricing mechanisms.