TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Major League Cricket match between Los Angeles Knight Riders and Seattle Orcas will be completed. Aggregated across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability that the match concludes is 99.9%. Resolution is determined by the official match result published on ESPN Cricinfo, as recognized by Major League Cricket organizers. Watch for the match scheduled on June 28, 2026, with the betting period closing on July 5, 2026.
This market refers to the cricket match between Los Angeles Knight Riders and Seattle Orcas scheduled for June 28 2026 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution is based on the official result declared by the governing body. If Los Angeles Knight Riders wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Seattle Orcas wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Polymarket and Kalshi may price this event differently for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and contract designs—Polymarket focuses on match outcomes while Kalshi emphasizes toss predictions. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and settlement timelines also vary. These structural differences mean identical events can trade at different implied probabilities across venues, creating arbitrage opportunities for sophisticated traders and reflecting how fragmented prediction markets remain.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match concludes. Injury announcements or roster changes to either team will likely trigger sharp repricing. Weather forecasts, pitch reports, and venue conditions closer to game day influence toss and match dynamics. Team form, recent head-to-head results, and lineup confirmations also drive trader activity. Breaking news about player availability or tactical shifts can create sudden volatility. Early betting action and social sentiment may compound moves, so monitoring cricket news and team updates remains essential for tracking this market's evolution.