TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Argentina's Nacional B league. The match features two teams competing to determine a clear winner within the standard 90-minute regulation time, including any added stoppage time. The result will reflect either one team securing a victory or the game concluding in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Maipu vs Temperley professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Maipu wins for the Maipu market, Temperley wins for the Temperley market, or the game ends in a tie for the Tie market—all determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no affiliation to the governing league or its trademarks.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors, including public betting patterns and expert analysis, whereas this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Differences can arise due to varying information sources, risk assessments, and the motivations of those placing bets. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome, potentially creating value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and spread can also indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, with narrower spreads suggesting greater consensus.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maipu vs Temperley match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could all impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price movements.