TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 11:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Mainz and Shabab Al-Ahli, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds for goal differences determine various possible outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes based on the goal differential in the Mainz versus Shabab Al-Ahli professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026. All resolutions are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct criteria define Yes resolutions: Mainz winning by more than 2.5 goals, Mainz winning by more than 1.5 goals, Shabab Al-Ahli winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Shabab Al-Ahli winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion represents a separate condition that, if met, resolves its corresponding market to Yes. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league or any team involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price of this market through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks. The current top outcome reflects the collective expectation of the point spread, updated instantly with each new trade. Volume of $51,924 indicates the level of interest and liquidity among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded after the official match end will determine which side of the market is settled as the winner, based on the rules defined by Kalshi at launch.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, changes in coaching strategy, recent form in matches leading up to the event, and weather conditions on the day of the game. Any unexpected developments — such as lineup changes or tactical shifts — may cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations for the final point differential.