TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 12:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Shivamogga Yodhas and Mysore Warriors scheduled for 2026-07-10 in Maharaja T20 Trophy. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Shivamogga Yodhas will be considered correct if Shivamogga Yodhas is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Mysore Warriors will be considered correct if Mysore Warriors is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Shivamogga Yodhas and Mysore Warriors scheduled for 2026-07-10 in Maharaja T20 Trophy. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Shivamogga Yodhas will be considered correct if Shivamogga Yodhas is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Mysore Warriors will be considered correct if Mysore Warriors is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced purely by supply and demand from traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on liability and betting patterns, whereas this market's odds emerge from the collective judgment of participants risking real capital. For major sporting events, prediction market prices frequently align closely with sharp sportsbook lines, though timing differences and trader conviction can create temporary gaps. Comparing the two can reveal where public or professional opinion differs most sharply.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible toss outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool; as more traders buy one outcome, its price rises and the alternative falls. Traders profit by purchasing undervalued outcomes and selling overvalued ones, and this arbitrage activity continuously calibrates prices toward fair value. The current odds reflect the cumulative conviction of all active traders, with larger trades moving prices more dramatically than smaller ones, creating a dynamic pricing system responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Maharaja T20 Trophy toss between Shivamogga Yodhas and Mysore Warriors has taken place and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual coin toss call and result during the match broadcast or official event documentation. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the event concludes and the platform confirms the result. Until that point, prices in this market will fluctuate as new information, team news, or betting patterns influence trader expectations.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Late-breaking team news, injury announcements, or weather conditions affecting the match venue may influence trader perception of fairness or luck. Betting activity on external sportsbooks or social media sentiment can cascade into prediction market trades as participants react to shifting consensus. Unusual trading volume or large positions entering the market may signal informed traders acting on private information or strong conviction. Additionally, any official statements from the tournament organizers about match logistics or timing could trigger repricing. As the event date approaches, anticipation typically builds, potentially concentrating volume and sharpening price discovery.