TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 1:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which player will win the second set of the Madison Keys versus Alina Korneeva match at the 2026 US Open Women’s Singles Round of 128. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to Madison Keys winning the set, while Alina Korneeva is at 11.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the match, as determined by the 2026 US Open. Keep an eye on the start of the match on 2026-08-30, as the outcome of the first set will likely heavily influence the dynamics of the second.
The market resolves based on which player wins the second set of the Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before any play due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it will resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set 2 will be determined by the official match result, and the market will close accordingly. Traders should monitor live coverage and official score updates as the set progresses, since any decisive moment could finalize the market’s settlement immediately after the match concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, momentum swings during the match, or changes in player serve performance. Breaking points, tiebreakers, or any unexpected interruptions may also influence trader sentiment. As the set unfolds, real-time statistics such as ace counts, errors, and point differentials can cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will react to any development that alters the perceived likelihood of each player claiming set 2.