TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$265,900

Madison Keys

 - Kalshi

Madison Keys - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 12:45 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Madison Keys

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$155,605
N/A
N/A
$120,282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alina Korneeva

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$110,295
N/A
N/A
$76,527
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which player will win the first set of the Madison Keys versus Alina Korneeva match at the 2026 US Open Women’s Singles Round of 128. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Madison Keys winning the first set, with Alina Korneeva at 1.0%. The market resolves based on whether Madison Keys wins set 1, as determined by the official result of the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128. Keep an eye on the start of the match on August 30, 2026, as that will determine the outcome of this market.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play will resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Set 1 winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the outcome of who will claim the first set. It shows the latest probability percentages, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume of $239,068. This visualization helps traders monitor how market sentiment shifts before the match concludes, reflecting the evolving expectations for the Set 1 winner market.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match records, and the winner of the first set will settle the contract. Timing is tied directly to when the match concludes and the data becomes publicly available.

Injuries, recent form, or any last-minute changes to the lineup could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting trends may also influence pricing. As the match draws closer, any update regarding player readiness or past performance against similar opponents is likely to create noticeable swings in the odds.