TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Machida Z vs Urawa: Spread
kalshi

Machida Z vs Urawa: Spread

Volume:
$33,703

Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 9:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,261
N/A
N/A
$5,637
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,648
N/A
N/A
$4,937
Settled
No
kalshi

Urawa wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,494
N/A
N/A
$3,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Urawa wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Machida Z and Urawa in Japan's J1 League. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides different thresholds for how many goals a team must win by for the outcome to be considered.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Machida Z vs Urawa Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded. Four distinct primary rules define specific winning margins: Machida Z must win by more than 2.5 goals, Machida Z must win by more than 1.5 goals, Urawa must win by more than 1.5 goals, and Urawa must win by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a separate market outcome (Yes or No) based strictly on the final score differential within regular time. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Machida Z vs Urawa spread market tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $33,547. It provides a visual representation of how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the match, showing the probability of Urawa winning by more than 1.5 goals. The page updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment, giving users insight into crowd-sourced forecasts for this specific matchup.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks that determine the current probability of each outcome. The top bid and ask prices are displayed in real time, reflecting the balance of buy and sell orders. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather conditions — traders adjust their positions, causing the market price to shift accordingly. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows participants to express their beliefs freely.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against the spread to determine whether Urawa wins by more than 1.5 goals. Once official match reports and trusted sports news outlets confirm the result, the market will close and payouts will be processed automatically based on the settled probability.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including key player injuries, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, or strategic changes announced by either team's coaching staff. High-profile performances in prior matches, transfer rumors impacting player morale, and even early betting trends on Kalshi can influence trader sentiment. As new information emerges, especially closer to Aug 23, 2026, expect rapid adjustments in the market odds reflecting updated expectations for the spread outcome.