TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Macclesfield FC vs. Brentford FC
polymarket
kalshi

Macclesfield FC vs. Brentford FC

Volume:
$411,764

Brentford wins by over 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Brentford wins by over 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 16, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brentford wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$8,291
$21,200
N/A
N/A
$14,352
Settled
No
kalshi

Brentford wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$3,719
$18,027
N/A
N/A
$10,402
Settled
No
kalshi

Macclesfield wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,008
$5,331
N/A
N/A
$3,723
Settled
No
kalshi

Macclesfield wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$659
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
No
polymarket

Brentford FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$256,318
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Macclesfield FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,712
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Macclesfield FC vs. Brentford FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,861
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the FA Cup match between Macclesfield FC and Brentford FC scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: match result (win/draw/loss), goal differential thresholds, and cancellation scenarios. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for goal differential markets.Hero tip: Monitor FA Cup official communications for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. For Kalshi markets, request clarification on whether cancellation triggers discretionary resolution or automatic No. Traders should hedge accordingly or seek platform guidance before February 16, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets: (1) Draw resolves Yes if match ends level or is canceled with no make-up; (2) Brentford Win resolves Yes only if Brentford wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled; (3) Macclesfield Win resolves Yes only if Macclesfield wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
  • Kalshi: Four goal differential markets: (1) Macclesfield wins by >2.5 goals; (2) Brentford wins by >1.5 goals; (3) Macclesfield wins by >1.5 goals; (4) Brentford wins by >2.5 goals. All resolve based on 90+stoppage time outcome. No explicit cancellation clause provided; silent on postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.