This event group covers the FA Cup match between Macclesfield FC and Brentford FC scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: match result (win/draw/loss), goal differential thresholds, and cancellation scenarios. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for goal differential markets.
Hero Tip:
Monitor FA Cup official communications for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. For Kalshi markets, request clarification on whether cancellation triggers discretionary resolution or automatic No. Traders should hedge accordingly or seek platform guidance before February 16, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three binary markets: (1) Draw resolves Yes if match ends level or is canceled with no make-up; (2) Brentford Win resolves Yes only if Brentford wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled; (3) Macclesfield Win resolves Yes only if Macclesfield wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Kalshi: Four goal differential markets: (1) Macclesfield wins by >2.5 goals; (2) Brentford wins by >1.5 goals; (3) Macclesfield wins by >1.5 goals; (4) Brentford wins by >2.5 goals. All resolve based on 90+stoppage time outcome. No explicit cancellation clause provided; silent on postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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