TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the exact outcome of a soccer match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Lugano after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. Bettors can choose whether they believe Maccabi Tel Aviv, Lugano, or a tie will be the result of the game within regulation time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano professional Conference League soccer match originally scheduled for August 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Maccabi Tel Aviv or Lugano occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. All markets are independent and resolve strictly based on regulation time results.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and public sentiment compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors like betting trends and house edges, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, sometimes showing tighter spreads or different favorites based on real-time trader activity and data.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the prices for this market based on their expectations of the match outcome in regulation time. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants, with odds adjusting dynamically as new information emerges and trading volume grows. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures a range of opinions and insights from engaged fans and analysts.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined solely by which team wins the match in regulation time, with no consideration for overtime or draws — the market’s settlement follows the official game result as reported by authoritative sports news sources.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, weather conditions, and pre-game analyst forecasts could all shift this market. High-profile news, betting trends, and updates from official team announcements may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the odds. As the match approaches, any new information that affects the perceived likelihood of a regulation-time win can lead to noticeable price movements.