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405,232

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC?

Volume:
$173,032

Maccabi Tel Aviv

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 4:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maccabi Tel Aviv

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,604
N/A
N/A
$41,512
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hapoel Tel Aviv

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,734
N/A
N/A
$28,251
Settled
No
polymarket

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,929
N/A
N/A
$24,180
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Tel Aviv Derby, a soccer match between Maccabi Tel Aviv FC and Hapoel Tel Aviv FC, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets consistently define resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (https://www.football.org.il/).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, the 'Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win' and 'Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, ideally within 2 hours if official statistics are promptly available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Israel Premier League game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between Maccabi Tel Aviv FC and Hapoel Tel Aviv FC.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Maccabi Tel Aviv versus Hapoel Tel Aviv Israeli Premier League soccer match scheduled for September 14, 2026: a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv, a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv, or a tie. All resolutions are based solely on the result after the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie during regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The operator explicitly states no official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate predictions for the Tel Aviv Derby. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $173,032, with Polymarket showing a 42% probability for a specific outcome. This allows for a consensus view of the potential results of the match, aggregating insights from different prediction market participants. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the Tel Aviv Derby market, displaying how traders are pricing in various possibilities as the event approaches. This is a dynamic view, reflecting the evolving expectations of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to price discovery driven by a broader range of information. This can result in prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event nears and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and may adjust their lines based on betting volume, creating discrepancies with this market's implied probabilities.