TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential match disruptions, ensuring fair resolution if the game cannot proceed as scheduled.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Liga Leumit soccer match between Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat and FC Kafr Qasim scheduled for September 28, 2026: a win for Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, a win for FC Kafr Qasim, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie at the end of regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk assessment, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals actively trading on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game. The platform will then determine payouts based on the final outcome and the contracts held by each trader.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could impact the perceived probabilities. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns or social media discussions, could also drive price movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.