TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Nicolas Tepmahc in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Nicolas Tepmahc in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants. The current volume suggests a degree of confidence in the prevailing probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bagnères-de-Bigorre tennis match, determining which player, Matisse Bobichon or Nicolas Tepmahc, emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially affecting playing styles and match outcomes. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants—perhaps based on private information or sophisticated analysis—could trigger price movements. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the players could also contribute to shifts in the market's probabilities.