TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 6:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guillaume Dalmasso and Alex Knaff in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Alex Knaff. This market will resolve to 'Alex Knaff' if Alex Knaff advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guillaume Dalmasso and Alex Knaff in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Alex Knaff. This market will resolve to 'Alex Knaff' if Alex Knaff advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in perceived probabilities than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Dalmasso vs Knaff match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre match between Guillaume Dalmasso and Alex Knaff. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the match could shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in expert analysis or social media discussions, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily impact the price, although the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements.