TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 9:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Knaff and Fares Zakaria in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Knaff' if Alex Knaff advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Alex Knaff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Knaff and Fares Zakaria in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Knaff' if Alex Knaff advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Alex Knaff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be surprisingly accurate, sometimes even outperforming traditional forecasting methods. However, it’s important to remember that both sources have their strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre tennis match between Alex Knaff and Fares Zakaria. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result reporting.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could affect overall confidence in player rankings and influence trading decisions. Shifts in public sentiment, even those not directly related to tennis, can also contribute to market movement.