TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Milosevic and Marko Knezevic in the M25 Zlatibor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Milosevic' if Novak Milosevic advances against Marko Knezevic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Knezevic' if Marko Knezevic advances against Novak Milosevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Milosevic and Marko Knezevic in the M25 Zlatibor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Milosevic' if Novak Milosevic advances against Marko Knezevic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Knezevic' if Marko Knezevic advances against Novak Milosevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring, as traders buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis. While sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, prediction markets tend to aggregate information from a wider range of sources and expert opinions, potentially offering more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more people buy contracts for a specific player, the price of that contract increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome happening, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. The market's overall volume of $1,219 indicates the level of interest and confidence in the predictions being made.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zlatibor tennis match between Novak Milosevic and Marko Knezevic, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be the winning outcome for this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency, and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over the other. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, or changes in overall market sentiment, could lead to noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 22, 2026.