TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Marko Nikolic in the M25 Zlatibor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Marko Nikolic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Nikita Belozertsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Marko Nikolic in the M25 Zlatibor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Marko Nikolic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Nikolic' if Marko Nikolic advances against Nikita Belozertsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that incorporate information not fully captured by traditional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market itself.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zlatibor tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Marko Nikolic. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available, authoritative sources that report the final match results. Traders should monitor these sources as the event concludes to understand how this market will be settled. The final result will be used to determine which shares pay out.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either player in other recent matches, could also lead to significant price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to drive trading volume and adjust the market price accordingly.