TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Jovic and Marko Knezevic in the M25 Zlatibor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Jovic' if Maxim Jovic advances against Marko Knezevic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Knezevic' if Marko Knezevic advances against Maxim Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Jovic and Marko Knezevic in the M25 Zlatibor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Jovic' if Maxim Jovic advances against Marko Knezevic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Knezevic' if Marko Knezevic advances against Maxim Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the collective wisdom (or biases) of the crowd participating in this market. It's valuable to compare both to gain a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Zlatibor match between Maxim Jovic and Marko Knezevic, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The winning player will be the outcome that determines the settlement of this market. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using publicly available information and established tournament rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical approaches could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the market's direction. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.