TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 9:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Biletic and Caheer Warik in the M25 Zlatibor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Biletic' if Ivan Biletic advances against Caheer Warik. This market will resolve to 'Caheer Warik' if Caheer Warik advances against Ivan Biletic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Biletic and Caheer Warik in the M25 Zlatibor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Biletic' if Ivan Biletic advances against Caheer Warik. This market will resolve to 'Caheer Warik' if Caheer Warik advances against Ivan Biletic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into how the perceived probability of an event is changing and whether the market identifies any inefficiencies in sportsbook pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing it. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is reflected in the share price available on the Polymarket dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zlatibor tennis match between Ivan Biletic and Caheer Warik. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact confidence levels. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Ivan Biletic or Caheer Warik winning has the potential to move this market.