TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 7:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Nico Hipfl in the M25 Zlatibor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Nico Hipfl. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Nico Hipfl in the M25 Zlatibor, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Nico Hipfl. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zlatibor tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Nico Hipfl. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets, to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the winner of the match.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity—a large influx of volume on one outcome—could quickly move the market, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the odds.