TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eduardo Pobes and Cedric Stanke in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Pobes' if Eduardo Pobes advances against Cedric Stanke. This market will resolve to 'Cedric Stanke' if Cedric Stanke advances against Eduardo Pobes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eduardo Pobes and Cedric Stanke in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Pobes' if Eduardo Pobes advances against Cedric Stanke. This market will resolve to 'Cedric Stanke' if Cedric Stanke advances against Eduardo Pobes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants in the market, creating a real-time forecast of the match’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Zaragoza tennis match between Eduardo Pobes and Cedric Stanke, as determined by official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants or public endorsements of either player could trigger price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information.