TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Giraldi and Thomas Gimenez in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Thomas Gimenez. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gimenez' if Thomas Gimenez advances against Carlos Giraldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Giraldi and Thomas Gimenez in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Thomas Gimenez. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gimenez' if Thomas Gimenez advances against Carlos Giraldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Zaragoza match between Carlos Giraldi and Thomas Gimenez. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and the timing of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Carlos Giraldi or Thomas Gimenez, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or tactical adjustments might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in perceived probabilities as the match draws nearer.