TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Giraldi and Jordi Garcia Mestre in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Jordi Garcia Mestre. This market will resolve to 'Jordi Garcia Mestre' if Jordi Garcia Mestre advances against Carlos Giraldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Giraldi and Jordi Garcia Mestre in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Jordi Garcia Mestre. This market will resolve to 'Jordi Garcia Mestre' if Jordi Garcia Mestre advances against Carlos Giraldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on this market, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Zaragoza match between Carlos Giraldi and Jordi Garcia Mestre. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause movement. A significant amount of trading volume from well-informed participants could also signal a shift in expectations, rapidly changing the odds on Polymarket as new information becomes available. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding how this market might evolve.