TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Asier Meneses Perny and Noah Regas Luis in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Asier Meneses Perny' if Asier Meneses Perny advances against Noah Regas Luis. This market will resolve to 'Noah Regas Luis' if Noah Regas Luis advances against Asier Meneses Perny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Asier Meneses Perny and Noah Regas Luis in the M25 Zaragoza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Asier Meneses Perny' if Asier Meneses Perny advances against Noah Regas Luis. This market will resolve to 'Noah Regas Luis' if Noah Regas Luis advances against Asier Meneses Perny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Meneses Perny vs Regas Luis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregate sentiment. The market’s efficiency relies on active participation and the availability of information, allowing the price to converge towards a fair assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Zaragoza match between Asier Meneses Perny and Noah Regas Luis. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market leading up to the match’s conclusion.