TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Shengyu Wang in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Shengyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Shengyu Wang' if Shengyu Wang advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Shengyu Wang in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Shengyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Shengyu Wang' if Shengyu Wang advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the event. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the most favored by traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yue Xia vs Shengyu Wang match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or significant performance updates for Yue Xia or Shengyu Wang could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or strategic changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, potentially leading to price movements in this market.