TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 4:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Seonyong Han and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Seonyong Han' if Seonyong Han advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Seonyong Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Seonyong Han and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Seonyong Han' if Seonyong Han advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Seonyong Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle, as information and opinions evolve. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current volume traded is $6,192.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seonyong Han vs Nikolai Barsukov match. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about the event's progress.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either fighter, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, as well as expert analysis of their strengths and weaknesses, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight's location or rules could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning is likely to move this market.