TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and Ryoma Cogan in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against Ryoma Cogan. This market will resolve to 'Ryoma Cogan' if Ryoma Cogan advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and Ryoma Cogan in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against Ryoma Cogan. This market will resolve to 'Ryoma Cogan' if Ryoma Cogan advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the match. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as both sources represent probabilities, but arrive at them through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Komagata vs Cogan match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds; it’s a truly decentralized assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Reiya Komagata and Ryoma Cogan, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment, could also play a role. Major announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or alterations to the match schedule, could also cause significant price movement as traders reassess the probabilities.