TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Shearer and Tianlin Xie in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Tianlin Xie. This market will resolve to 'Tianlin Xie' if Tianlin Xie advances against Matthew Shearer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Shearer and Tianlin Xie in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Tianlin Xie. This market will resolve to 'Tianlin Xie' if Tianlin Xie advances against Matthew Shearer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Yinchuan match between Matthew Shearer and Tianlin Xie. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the M25 Yinchuan match takes place. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or potential rule changes could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on relevant news will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.