TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 12:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Shearer and Shanghui Li in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Shanghui Li. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against Matthew Shearer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Shearer and Shanghui Li in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Shanghui Li. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against Matthew Shearer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more people buy shares in an outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the market's collective assessment of the event's probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment leading up to the event's conclusion. The current price reflects the aggregated opinions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Yinchuan match, as determined by the event organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using publicly available information and established sporting regulations. The platform will then distribute payouts to share holders based on the final outcome, reflecting the probabilities established by trading activity leading up to resolution. It's important to monitor for official announcements regarding the match result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or significant performance updates for either Matthew Shearer or Shanghui Li could trigger movement. Unexpected announcements about the tournament conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in the players’ recent form, or even public sentiment expressed through social media, could impact the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected by trading volume.