TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and JIANGAO CHANG in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against JIANGAO CHANG. This market will resolve to 'JIANGAO CHANG' if JIANGAO CHANG advances against Kazuki Nakajima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and JIANGAO CHANG in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against JIANGAO CHANG. This market will resolve to 'JIANGAO CHANG' if JIANGAO CHANG advances against Kazuki Nakajima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, resulting in potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kazuki Nakajima vs Jian Gao Chang match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Kazuki Nakajima or Jian Gao Chang, such as injuries or changes in training schedules, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match location or format could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or shifts in public sentiment could play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.