TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlin Chen and Cheng Lu in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlin Chen' if Junlin Chen advances against Cheng Lu. This market will resolve to 'Cheng Lu' if Cheng Lu advances against Junlin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlin Chen and Cheng Lu in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlin Chen' if Junlin Chen advances against Cheng Lu. This market will resolve to 'Cheng Lu' if Cheng Lu advances against Junlin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Yinchuan match between Junlin Chen and Cheng Lu. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Junlin Chen or Cheng Lu could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the conviction of traders.