TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Peliwo and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Filip Peliwo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Peliwo and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Filip Peliwo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available and opinions shift regarding the Peliwo vs Chen match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Peliwo vs Chen match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result and its implications for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or strategic positioning. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.