TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cheng Lu and Ryoma Cogan in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cheng Lu' if Cheng Lu advances against Ryoma Cogan. This market will resolve to 'Ryoma Cogan' if Ryoma Cogan advances against Cheng Lu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cheng Lu and Ryoma Cogan in the M25 Yinchuan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cheng Lu' if Cheng Lu advances against Ryoma Cogan. This market will resolve to 'Ryoma Cogan' if Ryoma Cogan advances against Cheng Lu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective wisdom of the crowd, and changes based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The platform uses this mechanism to determine the probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Cheng Lu vs Ryoma Cogan match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official results and widely accepted sources to verify the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring news sources and staying informed about the players involved is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might affect this market.