TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Sasikumar Mukund in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Sasikumar Mukund. This market will resolve to 'Sasikumar Mukund' if Sasikumar Mukund advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Sasikumar Mukund in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Sasikumar Mukund. This market will resolve to 'Sasikumar Mukund' if Sasikumar Mukund advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different interpretation of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winner of the Kachmazov vs Mukund match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Alibek Kachmazov and Sasikumar Mukund. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, as could broader shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning the Kachmazov vs Mukund match.