TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 2:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoki Nakagawa and Yua Taka in the M25 Urayasu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoki Nakagawa' if Naoki Nakagawa advances against Yua Taka. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Naoki Nakagawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoki Nakagawa and Yua Taka in the M25 Urayasu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoki Nakagawa' if Naoki Nakagawa advances against Yua Taka. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Naoki Nakagawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect the collective wisdom of participating traders, who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the outcome. These odds can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and may include adjustments for balancing betting action. Over time, this market may align more closely with sportsbook prices if major news shifts trader sentiment, but differences can persist due to varying participant dynamics and information flow.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants buy and sell shares based on their expectations for the outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate sentiment, with chances displayed as a percentage. Volume of $41 over the last 24 hours shows how actively the market is trading.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official fight outcome, which is then matched against the market’s predefined conditions to finalize the settlement.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 9, 2026. Key updates such as fighter injuries, training camp performance, changes to fight strategy, or media hype can all influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute developments — for example, a surprise weight class adjustment or a high-profile training session — may cause rapid price swings. As the event draws nearer, betting patterns on Polymarket will also react to any emerging narratives or shifting public opinion surrounding the fighters.