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402,751

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M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson

Volume:
$3,583

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson

 - Polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 11:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Urayasu: Keisuke Saitoh vs Chase Ferguson Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Keisuke Saitoh and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Urayasu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keisuke Saitoh' if Keisuke Saitoh advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Keisuke Saitoh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Keisuke Saitoh and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Urayasu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keisuke Saitoh' if Keisuke Saitoh advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Keisuke Saitoh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Saitoh vs Ferguson match tracks the current odds offered by traders, the price history of the market, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume is $3,583 and the 24-hour volume is $3,583. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome has shifted over time through the price charts, and gauge market interest based on recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of this bout.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than traditional sportsbooks.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and reflects their collective assessment of the likelihood of each competitor winning the match.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Urayasu match between Keisuke Saitoh and Chase Ferguson. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, changes in betting odds at traditional sportsbooks, and even social media sentiment could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Unexpected announcements about the event itself, such as a change in venue or rules, could also move this market considerably before Sep 10, 2026.