TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iulius Maximus Stoica and David Gabor in the M25 Slobozia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iulius Maximus Stoica' if Iulius Maximus Stoica advances against David Gabor. This market will resolve to 'David Gabor' if David Gabor advances against Iulius Maximus Stoica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iulius Maximus Stoica and David Gabor in the M25 Slobozia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iulius Maximus Stoica' if Iulius Maximus Stoica advances against David Gabor. This market will resolve to 'David Gabor' if David Gabor advances against Iulius Maximus Stoica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is heavily favored, with a significant amount of volume traded on that side of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Slobozia match between Iulius Maximus Stoica and David Gabor. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Iulius Maximus Stoica or David Gabor, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also shift the odds. Unexpected developments related to the match itself, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 4, 2026.