TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iancu Manolache and Justin Shriki in the M25 Slobozia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iancu Manolache' if Iancu Manolache advances against Justin Shriki. This market will resolve to 'Justin Shriki' if Justin Shriki advances against Iancu Manolache. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iancu Manolache and Justin Shriki in the M25 Slobozia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iancu Manolache' if Iancu Manolache advances against Justin Shriki. This market will resolve to 'Justin Shriki' if Justin Shriki advances against Iancu Manolache. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individual predictions. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with those found here, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or differing information available to each group. Examining these discrepancies can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket, providing a real-time assessment of the match's potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iancu Manolache vs Justin Shriki match as reported by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is confirmed and the market is settled on Polymarket. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result as that will determine the payout for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also drive trading volume. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their informed opinions about the Iancu Manolache vs Justin Shriki match.