TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilian David Negoita and Liviu Popirlan in the M25 Slobozia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilian David Negoita' if Emilian David Negoita advances against Liviu Popirlan. This market will resolve to 'Liviu Popirlan' if Liviu Popirlan advances against Emilian David Negoita. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilian David Negoita and Liviu Popirlan in the M25 Slobozia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilian David Negoita' if Emilian David Negoita advances against Liviu Popirlan. This market will resolve to 'Liviu Popirlan' if Liviu Popirlan advances against Emilian David Negoita. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each candidate's chance of winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. Higher demand for shares in a candidate drives up their price, indicating increased confidence in their victory. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities for the Slobozia mayoral race. Any official recount or legal challenges that affect the final declared winner will also be considered in determining the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the election approaches and results are tallied.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from prominent political figures, unexpected campaign finance disclosures, or shifts in public opinion revealed through polling data could all cause price movements. Any controversies or scandals involving the candidates could also lead to substantial changes in the odds. Furthermore, significant events during the campaign period, such as debates or rallies, could influence traders' perceptions and affect the volume and price of shares in this market. Monitoring news coverage and political analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.