TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Vilaca and Lewie Lane in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Vilaca' if Tomas Vilaca advances against Lewie Lane. This market will resolve to 'Lewie Lane' if Lewie Lane advances against Tomas Vilaca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Vilaca and Lewie Lane in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Vilaca' if Tomas Vilaca advances against Lewie Lane. This market will resolve to 'Lewie Lane' if Lewie Lane advances against Tomas Vilaca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome it represents; a share priced at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market efficiently incorporates new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra match between Tomas Vilaca and Lewie Lane. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact expectations. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions, as could significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market price.