TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Curras Abasolo and Nikolai Marin in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Nikolai Marin. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Marin' if Nikolai Marin advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Curras Abasolo and Nikolai Marin in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Nikolai Marin. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Marin' if Nikolai Marin advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the total value of all shares summing to 1. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants regarding the result of the M25 Sintra match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra match between Tomas Curras Abasolo and Nikolai Marin. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or changes to the event schedule.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their strategies could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and trigger further price movements. Monitoring news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.